MLB / mlb / live
scheduledMILMilwaukee Brewers54%
SFGSan Francisco Giants46%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterLogan HendersonProbable
Model pickMIL moneyline54%Model 20260727_auto
SFGHome starterLanden RouppProbable
MIL54%ML -140
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability56%Selected moneyline pick
SFG46%ML +118
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total10.2
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Logan HendersonMIL starter / away
Projected K4.4
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%
O 2.580%
O 3.563%
O 4.544%
O 5.528%
O 6.516%
O 7.58%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Landen RouppSFG starter / home
Projected K4.9
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.586%
O 3.571%
O 4.554%
O 5.537%
O 6.523%
O 7.513%
O 8.57%
O 9.53%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-140 / +118MIL / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-148)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -115 / U -106
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total