MLB / mlb / live
scheduledMILMilwaukee Brewers48%
SFGSan Francisco Giants52%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterBrandon SproatProbable
Model pickSFG moneyline52%Model 20260720_auto
SFGHome starterTyler MahleProbable
MIL48%ML -136
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability45%Selected moneyline pick
SFG52%ML +113
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.1
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Brandon SproatMIL starter / away
Projected K4.5
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%
O 2.581%
O 3.564%
O 4.546%
O 5.529%
O 6.517%
O 7.59%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-136 / +113MIL / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-144)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total