MLB / mlb / live
MIL 0 / SFG 3MILMilwaukee Brewers50%
SFGSan Francisco Giants50%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterBrandon SproatConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline50%Model 20260727_auto
SFGHome starterTyler MahleConfirmed
MIL50%ML -140
Base model probability50%Moneyline only
SFG50%ML +120
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total10.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Brandon SproatMIL starter / away
Projected K4.5Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -111 fanduel / U -105 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.581%over
O 3.564%over
O 4.546%over
O 5.529%under
O 6.517%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Tyler MahleSFG starter / home
Projected K4.3Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -115 betmgm / U +106 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 4.543%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.562%under
O 4.543%under
O 5.527%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-140 / +120MIL / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total