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COL 2 / SFG 8
COLColorado Rockies44%
SFGSan Francisco Giants56%

at Oracle Park

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
COLAway starterRyan FeltnerConfirmed
Model pickSFG moneyline56%Model 20260706_auto
SFGHome starterCarson WhisenhuntConfirmed
COL44%ML +110
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
SFG56%ML -130

Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.

AI Analyst Insight

AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#8
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap1.7 pts

Home pitcher is TBD fallback; no market data to anchor against. Model likes SFG at 60.7% but with no named starter and COL's 7.0 RPG offense, structural uncertainty is too high. Oracle Park factor (0.906) suggests under bias but cannot handicap total without knowing home starter identity.

pitcher data fallbackmarket data missing

Projection Context

Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Lines
Ryan FeltnerCOL starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -149 betonlineag / U +127 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 3.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.552%under
O 4.533%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.

Carson WhisenhuntSFG starter / home
Projected K3.4Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -152 betrivers / U +125 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 3.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.584%over
O 2.565%over
O 3.544%over
O 4.526%under
O 5.513%under
O 6.56%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context

Market consensus+110 / -130COL / SFG moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+159)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total