MLB / mlb / live
CHW 5 / SFG 8CHWChicago White Sox59%
SFGSan Francisco Giants41%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterNoah Schultz
Model pickCHW moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
SFGHome starterRobbie Ray
CHW59%ML +105
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
SFG41%ML -124
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#10
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time10.7 pts
Away pitcher Noah Schultz has no IP/ERA/K9/WHIP data despite 7 starts—likely bulk reliever or data error. Model calls CHW 58.6% but market has SFG slight favorite at 52.1%. Ray's 5.1 IP over 10 starts signals opener usage. Oracle Park (PF 0.906) and missing pitcher context make both sides and total unreadable.
Large model-market gap
Projection Context
Projected margin1.5
Projected total9.2
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+105 / -124CHW / SFG moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+161)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
31 books30 ML24 run line23 total