MLB / mlb / live
MIL 2 / SDP 11MILMilwaukee Brewers53%
SDPSan Diego Padres47%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterKyle HarrisonConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline53%Model 20260810_auto
SDPHome starterWalker BuehlerConfirmed
MIL53%ML -132
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
SDP47%ML +112
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.2
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kyle HarrisonMIL starter / away
Projected K5.6Actual 3 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +120 betmgm / U -131 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.579%under
O 4.564%under
O 5.548%under
O 6.533%under
O 7.521%under
O 8.512%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Walker BuehlerSDP starter / home
Projected K4.3Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 betonlineag / U -147 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.561%over
O 4.542%over
O 5.526%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-132 / +112MIL / SDP moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -105 / U -114
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total