MLB / mlb / live
scheduledSFGSan Francisco Giants45%
SDPSan Diego Padres55%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterTyler MahleProbable
Model pickSDP moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
SDPHome starterWalker BuehlerProbable
SFG45%ML +130
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
SDP55%ML -154
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lines
Tyler MahleSFG starter / away
Projected K4.3
Best price at 3.53.5O -152 draftkings / U +124 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 3.562%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%
O 2.579%
O 3.562%
O 4.543%
O 5.527%
O 6.515%
O 7.58%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Walker BuehlerSDP starter / home
Projected K4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +126 fanduel / U -135 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 4.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%
O 2.582%
O 3.565%
O 4.547%
O 5.531%
O 6.518%
O 7.510%
O 8.55%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+130 / -154SFG / SDP moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+136)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -116
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total