MLB / mlb / live
SFG 4 / SDP 1SFGSan Francisco Giants46%
SDPSan Diego Padres54%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterRobbie Ray
Model pickSDP moneyline54%Model 20260727_auto
SDPHome starterJP SearsConfirmed
SFG46%ML +140
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
SDP54%ML -168
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
JP SearsSDP starter / home
Projected K3.8Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -106 fanduel / U -109 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 3.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.573%under
O 3.553%under
O 4.534%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+140 / -168SFG / SDP moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -111 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total