MLB / mlb / live
NYM 2 / SDP 3NYMNew York Mets52%
SDPSan Diego Padres48%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterNolan McLean
Model pickNYM moneyline52%Model 20260414_1
SDPHome starterGriffin Canning
NYM52%ML -125
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
SDP48%ML +105
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.0
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-125 / +105NYM / SDP moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-164)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total