MLB / mlb / live
NYM 5 / SDP 0NYMNew York Mets49%
SDPSan Diego Padres51%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterChristian Scott
Model pickSDP moneyline51%Model 20260414_1
SDPHome starterMichael King
NYM49%ML +110
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
SDP51%ML -132
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#10
Total leanUnder
Model-market gap3.9 pts
Christian Scott's pitcher data is completely missing (null ERA, IP, K/9, WHIP). Michael King shows 10 GS but only 5.0 IP total, which is impossible—likely a data error. Model predicts 9.10 runs vs market 7.5, a 1.6-run gap. Without reliable pitcher inputs, cannot assess moneyline. Petco (PF 0.96) and data issues argue under on total.
total far from market
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.1
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+110 / -132NYM / SDP moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+170)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -120 / U +100
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total