MLB / mlb / live
PHI 4 / SDP 3PHIPhiladelphia Phillies46%
SDPSan Diego Padres54%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterAaron Nola
Model pickSDP moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
SDPHome starterRandy Vásquez
PHI46%ML -107
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
SDP54%ML -110
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.1
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-107 / -110PHI / SDP moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -105 / U -115
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total