MLB / mlb / live
STL 2 / SDP 1STLSt. Louis Cardinals42%
SDPSan Diego Padres58%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterMatthew Liberatore
Model pickSDP moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
SDPHome starterMichael King
STL42%ML +142
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability60%Selected moneyline pick
SDP58%ML -170
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+142 / -170STL / SDP moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total