MLB / mlb / live
CHC 5 / SDP 4CHCChicago Cubs56%
SDPSan Diego Padres44%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterJameson Taillon
Model pickCHC moneyline56%Model 20260414_1
SDPHome starterMatt Waldron
CHC56%ML -111
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
SDP44%ML -108
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.2
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-111 / -108CHC / SDP moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-170)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -104 / U -118
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total