MLB / mlb / live
SEA 2 / SDP 5SEASeattle Mariners46%
SDPSan Diego Padres54%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterLuis Castillo
Model pickSDP moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
SDPHome starterWalker Buehler
SEA46%ML -120
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability48%Selected moneyline pick
SDP54%ML +100
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-120 / +100SEA / SDP moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total