MLB / mlb / live
SEA 2 / SDP 5SEASeattle Mariners46%
SDPSan Diego Padres54%
at Petco Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterLuis Castillo
Model pickSDP moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
SDPHome starterWalker Buehler
SEA46%ML -120
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
SDP54%ML +100
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-120 / +100SEA / SDP moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total