MLB / mlb / live
scheduledKCRKansas City Royals44%
PITPittsburgh Pirates56%
at PNC Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedKCRAway starterMichael WachaProbable
Model pickPIT moneyline56%Model 20260914_auto
PITHome starterLake BacharProbable
KCR44%ML -120
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability48%Selected moneyline pick
PIT56%ML -102
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.2
Market total8.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-120 / -102KCR / PIT moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-175)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -107 / U -114
18 books18 ML12 run line13 total