MLB / mlb / live
KCR 5 / PIT 6KCRKansas City Royals46%
PITPittsburgh Pirates54%
at PNC Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedKCRAway starterNoah CameronConfirmed
Model pickPIT moneyline54%Model 20260914_auto
PITHome starterBubba ChandlerConfirmed
KCR46%ML +100
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
PIT54%ML -118
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Noah CameronKCR starter / away
Projected K4.9Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +128 betonlineag / U -140 betmgm6 books at this line
Model over 5.537%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.571%over
O 4.554%over
O 5.537%over
O 6.523%under
O 7.513%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Bubba ChandlerPIT starter / home
Projected K4.3Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +124 fanduel / U -155 betmgm5 books at this line
Model over 4.543%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.562%over
O 4.543%over
O 5.527%over
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+100 / -118KCR / PIT moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-182)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total