MLB / mlb / live
SFG 5 / PIT 4SFGSan Francisco Giants42%
PITPittsburgh Pirates58%
at PNC Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSFGAway starterLanden RouppConfirmed
Model pickPIT moneyline58%Model 20260831_auto
PITHome starterBubba ChandlerConfirmed
SFG42%ML +130
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
PIT58%ML -156
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Landen RouppSFG starter / away
Projected K4.4Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -150 draftkings / U +120 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 4.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.580%over
O 3.563%over
O 4.544%under
O 5.528%under
O 6.516%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Bubba ChandlerPIT starter / home
Projected K4.3Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 betonlineag / U -135 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 4.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.561%over
O 4.542%under
O 5.526%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+130 / -156SFG / PIT moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -108 / U -114
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total