MLB / mlb / live
CHC 10 / PIT 4CHCChicago Cubs55%
PITPittsburgh Pirates45%
at PNC Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterJameson Taillon
Model pickCHC moneyline55%Model 20260414_1
PITHome starterBraxton Ashcraft
CHC55%ML +104
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability47%Selected moneyline pick
PIT45%ML -125
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.3
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+104 / -125CHC / PIT moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -119 / U +100
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total