MLB / mlb / live
CHC 1 / PIT 2CHCChicago Cubs59%
PITPittsburgh Pirates41%
at PNC Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterBen Brown
Model pickCHC moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
PITHome starterCarmen Mlodzinski
CHC59%ML -125
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
PIT41%ML +106
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-125 / +106CHC / PIT moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -106
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total