MLB / mlb / live
CHC 1 / PIT 2CHCChicago Cubs59%
PITPittsburgh Pirates41%
at PNC Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterBen Brown
Model pickCHC moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
PITHome starterCarmen Mlodzinski
CHC59%ML -125
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
PIT41%ML +106
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-125 / +106CHC / PIT moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -106
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total