MLB / mlb / live
WSN 5 / PIT 4WSNWashington Nationals36%
PITPittsburgh Pirates64%
at PNC Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterPJ Poulin
Model pickPIT moneyline64%Model 20260414_1
PITHome starterMitch Keller
WSN36%ML +155
Base model probability64%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability62%Selected moneyline pick
PIT64%ML -186
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.6
Projected total8.9
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+155 / -186WSN / PIT moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+110)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -108 / U -112
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total