MLB / mlb / live
scheduledHOUHouston Astros45%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies55%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterHunter BrownProbable
Model pickPHI moneyline55%Model 20260907_auto
PHIHome starterCristopher SánchezProbable
HOU45%ML +134
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability59%Selected moneyline pick
PHI55%ML -162
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.3
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Hunter BrownHOU starter / away
Projected K5.3
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.589%
O 3.576%
O 4.560%
O 5.543%
O 6.529%
O 7.518%
O 8.510%
O 9.55%
O 10.53%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Cristopher SánchezPHI starter / home
Projected K6.5
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%
O 2.595%
O 3.588%
O 4.576%
O 5.562%
O 6.547%
O 7.533%
O 8.522%
O 9.514%
O 10.58%
O 11.54%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+134 / -162HOU / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+130)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
30 books29 ML23 run line22 total