MLB / mlb / live
scheduledWSNWashington Nationals46%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies54%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterMiles MikolasProbable
Model pickPHI moneyline54%Model 20260803_auto
PHIHome starterCristopher SánchezProbable
WSN46%ML +280
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability75%Selected moneyline pick
PHI54%ML -350
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.4
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lines
Miles MikolasWSN starter / away
Projected K3.6
Best price at 3.53.5O +152 betonlineag / U -156 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 3.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.586%
O 2.568%
O 3.547%
O 4.529%
O 5.516%
O 6.58%
O 7.53%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Cristopher SánchezPHI starter / home
Projected K6.6
Best price at 7.57.5O +118 fanduel / U -139 betrivers5 books at this line
Model over 7.534%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%
O 2.595%
O 3.588%
O 4.577%
O 5.563%
O 6.548%
O 7.534%
O 8.523%
O 9.514%
O 10.58%
O 11.54%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+280 / -350WSN / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -116
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total