MLB / mlb / live
CHW 6 / PHI 8CHWChicago White Sox42%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies58%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterAnthony Kay
Model pickPHI moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
PHIHome starterJesús Luzardo
CHW42%ML +157
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability63%Selected moneyline pick
PHI58%ML -190
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+157 / -190CHW / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+110)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total