MLB / mlb / live
SDP 4 / PHI 6SDPSan Diego Padres46%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies54%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterLucas Giolito
Model pickPHI moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
PHIHome starterZack Wheeler
SDP46%ML +178
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability66%Selected moneyline pick
PHI54%ML -216
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+178 / -216SDP / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-108)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -111
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total