MLB / mlb / live
SDP 2 / PHI 3SDPSan Diego Padres46%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies54%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterRandy Vásquez
Model pickPHI moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
PHIHome starterAaron Nola
SDP46%ML +128
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
PHI54%ML -152
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+128 / -152SDP / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total