MLB / mlb / live
CIN 9 / PHI 4CINCincinnati Reds42%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies58%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterAndrew Abbott
Model pickPHI moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
PHIHome starterAaron Nola
CIN42%ML +130
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
PHI58%ML -152
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.1
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+130 / -152CIN / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+128)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -115 / U -105
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total