MLB / mlb / live
COL 3 / PHI 9COLColorado Rockies46%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies54%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterKyle Freeland
Model pickPHI moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
PHIHome starterAaron Nola
COL46%ML +160
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability63%Selected moneyline pick
PHI54%ML -195
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total8.9
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+160 / -195COL / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+110)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total