MLB / mlb / live
CHC 10 / PHI 4CHCChicago Cubs42%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies58%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterRiley Martin
Model pickPHI moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
PHIHome starterAaron Nola
CHC42%ML +118
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
PHI58%ML -137
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.1
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+118 / -137CHC / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+144)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -112 / U -109
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total