MLB / mlb / live
ARI 5 / PHI 4ARIArizona Diamondbacks40%
PHIPhiladelphia Phillies60%
at Citizens Bank Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterMichael Soroka
Model pickPHI moneyline60%Model production_v1
PHIHome starterJesús Luzardo
ARI40%ML +151
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
PHI60%ML -181
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+151 / -181ARI / PHI moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -115 / U -105
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total