MLB / mlb / live
TBR 2 / NYY 9TBRTampa Bay Rays41%
NYYNew York Yankees59%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterMason EnglertConfirmed
Model pickNYY moneyline59%Model 20260921_auto
NYYHome starterGerrit ColeConfirmed
TBR41%ML +122
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
NYY59%ML -145
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total7.5
Market total6.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Mason EnglertTBR starter / away
Projected K3.4Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -123 betonlineag / U -105 betonlineag2 books at this line
Model over 4.527%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%over
O 2.566%over
O 3.545%over
O 4.527%over
O 5.514%over
O 6.57%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Gerrit ColeNYY starter / home
Projected K4.6Actual 8 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +105 betmgm / U -111 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.532%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.567%over
O 4.548%over
O 5.532%over
O 6.519%over
O 7.510%over
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+122 / -145TBR / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context6.5O -112 / U -108
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total