MLB / mlb / live
scheduledTBRTampa Bay Rays43%
NYYNew York Yankees57%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterIan SeymourProbable
Model pickNYY moneyline57%Model 20260921_auto
NYYHome starterGerrit ColeProbable
TBR43%ML +114
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
NYY57%ML -135
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total7.4
Market total6.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ian SeymourTBR starter / away
Projected K6.1
Best price at 6.56.5O +115 bovada / U -137 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 6.541%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%
O 2.593%
O 3.585%
O 4.572%
O 5.556%
O 6.541%
O 7.528%
O 8.518%
O 9.510%
O 10.56%
O 11.53%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Gerrit ColeNYY starter / home
Projected K4.6
Best price at 5.55.5O +128 betonlineag / U -152 mybookieag5 books at this line
Model over 5.532%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.583%
O 3.567%
O 4.548%
O 5.532%
O 6.519%
O 7.510%
O 8.55%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+114 / -135TBR / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+170)Home spread price shown for context
Total context6.5O -108 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total