MLB / mlb / live
NYM 0 / NYY 2NYMNew York Mets45%
NYYNew York Yankees55%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYMAway starterChristian ScottConfirmed
Model pickNYY moneyline55%Model 20260907_auto
NYYHome starterCam SchlittlerConfirmed
NYM45%ML +150
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
NYY55%ML -182
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total7.9
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Christian ScottNYM starter / away
Projected K5.6Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -114 betonlineag / U +106 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 5.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.580%over
O 4.565%over
O 5.548%over
O 6.533%over
O 7.521%under
O 8.512%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Cam SchlittlerNYY starter / home
Projected K7.5Actual 8 K / Over 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O +128 betonlineag / U -144 draftkings4 books at this line
Model over 7.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.597%over
O 3.593%over
O 4.585%over
O 5.574%over
O 6.561%over
O 7.548%over
O 8.535%under
O 9.524%under
O 10.515%under
O 11.59%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+150 / -182NYM / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+119)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -118 / U -103
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total