MLB / mlb / live
COL 1 / NYY 6COLColorado Rockies35%
NYYNew York Yankees65%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterTomoyuki SuganoConfirmed
Model pickNYY moneyline65%Model 20260907_auto
NYYHome starterWill WarrenConfirmed
COL35%ML +202
Base model probability65%Moneyline only
NYY65%ML -250
Projection Context
Projected margin1.2
Projected total8.8
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Tomoyuki SuganoCOL starter / away
Projected K3.9Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -120 betmgm / U -103 draftkings8 books at this line
Model over 3.554%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.574%over
O 3.554%over
O 4.535%over
O 5.521%under
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Will WarrenNYY starter / home
Projected K4.7Actual 8 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +130 betonlineag / U -145 fanatics7 books at this line
Model over 5.534%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.568%over
O 4.551%over
O 5.534%over
O 6.521%over
O 7.511%over
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+202 / -250COL / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-118)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total