MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCOLColorado Rockies44%
NYYNew York Yankees56%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterTomoyuki SuganoProbable
Model pickNYY moneyline56%Model 20260907_auto
NYYHome starterWill WarrenProbable
COL44%ML +200
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability68%Selected moneyline pick
NYY56%ML -250
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Tomoyuki SuganoCOL starter / away
Projected K3.9
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%
O 2.574%
O 3.554%
O 4.535%
O 5.521%
O 6.511%
O 7.55%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Will WarrenNYY starter / home
Projected K4.7
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.584%
O 3.568%
O 4.550%
O 5.533%
O 6.520%
O 7.511%
O 8.56%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+200 / -250COL / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -113 / U -108
30 books29 ML23 run line22 total