MLB / mlb / live
SEA 1 / NYY 4SEASeattle Mariners44%
NYYNew York Yankees56%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterBryan WooConfirmed
Model pickNYY moneyline56%Model 20260810_auto
NYYHome starterRyan WeathersConfirmed
SEA44%ML +116
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
NYY56%ML -134
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Bryan WooSEA starter / away
Projected K5.5Actual 5 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +120 bovada / U -140 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 6.531%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.590%over
O 3.578%over
O 4.563%over
O 5.546%under
O 6.531%under
O 7.519%under
O 8.511%under
O 9.56%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Ryan WeathersNYY starter / home
Projected K5.6Actual 4 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +124 fanduel / U -152 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 6.533%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.579%over
O 4.564%under
O 5.548%under
O 6.533%under
O 7.521%under
O 8.512%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+116 / -134SEA / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total