MLB / mlb / live
ATL 2 / NYY 1ATLAtlanta Braves43%
NYYNew York Yankees57%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedATLAway starterGrant HolmesConfirmed
Model pickNYY moneyline57%Model 20260803_auto
NYYHome starterCam SchlittlerConfirmed
ATL43%ML +123
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
NYY57%ML -145
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Grant HolmesATL starter / away
Projected K4.2Actual 2 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -154 fanduel / U +124 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.540%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.577%under
O 3.559%under
O 4.540%under
O 5.525%under
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Cam SchlittlerNYY starter / home
Projected K6.5Actual 11 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -125 fanatics / U +128 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 6.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.588%over
O 4.576%over
O 5.562%over
O 6.547%over
O 7.533%over
O 8.522%over
O 9.513%over
O 10.58%over
O 11.54%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 11 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+123 / -145ATL / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -108 / U -113
32 books31 ML22 run line22 total