MLB / mlb / live
STL 0 / NYY 2STLSt. Louis Cardinals40%
NYYNew York Yankees60%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterHunter DobbinsConfirmed
Model pickNYY moneyline60%Model 20260803_auto
NYYHome starterRyan WeathersConfirmed
STL40%ML +175
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
NYY60%ML -205
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Hunter DobbinsSTL starter / away
Projected K3.9Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -160 bovada / U +130 betmgm5 books at this line
Model over 3.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.573%over
O 3.553%over
O 4.535%under
O 5.520%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Ryan WeathersNYY starter / home
Projected K5.2Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -105 fanatics / U +100 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 5.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.588%over
O 3.575%over
O 4.558%over
O 5.542%over
O 6.527%under
O 7.516%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+175 / -205STL / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+100)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -113 / U -106
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total