MLB / mlb / live
STL 13 / NYY 7STLSt. Louis Cardinals42%
NYYNew York Yankees58%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterMichael McGreevyConfirmed
Model pickNYY moneyline58%Model 20260803_auto
NYYHome starterCam SchlittlerConfirmed
STL42%ML +201
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
NYY58%ML -248
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Michael McGreevySTL starter / away
Projected K3.9Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +129 draftkings / U -154 betonlineag5 books at this line
Model over 4.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.574%over
O 3.555%over
O 4.536%over
O 5.521%under
O 6.511%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Cam SchlittlerNYY starter / home
Projected K6.4Actual 6 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -148 fanduel / U +123 betrivers4 books at this line
Model over 6.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.587%over
O 4.576%over
O 5.561%over
O 6.546%under
O 7.532%under
O 8.521%under
O 9.513%under
O 10.57%under
O 11.54%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+201 / -248STL / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-116)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total