MLB / mlb / live
LAD 2 / NYY 1LADLos Angeles Dodgers58%
NYYNew York Yankees42%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLADAway starterRoki SasakiConfirmed
Model pickLAD moneyline58%Model 20260713_auto
NYYHome starterGerrit ColeConfirmed
LAD58%ML -114
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
NYY42%ML -105
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total9.3
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Roki SasakiLAD starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -155 betmgm / U +122 fanduel4 books at this line
Model over 4.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.573%over
O 4.556%over
O 5.539%under
O 6.525%under
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Gerrit ColeNYY starter / home
Projected K4.5Actual 8 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +125 bovada / U -137 betrivers6 books at this line
Model over 5.530%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.581%over
O 3.564%over
O 4.546%over
O 5.530%over
O 6.517%over
O 7.59%over
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-114 / -105LAD / NYY moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-165)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -117 / U -105
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total