MLB / mlb / live
MIN 6 / NYY 1MINMinnesota Twins44%
NYYNew York Yankees56%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterJoe RyanConfirmed
Model pickNYY moneyline56%Model 20260629_auto
NYYHome starterRyan WeathersConfirmed
MIN44%ML +114
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
NYY56%ML -136
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Joe RyanMIN starter / away
Projected K6.6Actual 9 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -110 betmgm / U +106 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 6.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.588%over
O 4.577%over
O 5.563%over
O 6.548%over
O 7.534%over
O 8.523%over
O 9.514%under
O 10.58%under
O 11.55%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Ryan WeathersNYY starter / home
Projected K5.4Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -120 fanduel / U +113 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.577%over
O 4.561%over
O 5.544%over
O 6.530%under
O 7.518%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+114 / -136MIN / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML23 run line23 total