MLB / mlb / live
DET 9 / NYY 3DETDetroit Tigers47%
NYYNew York Yankees53%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterTarik SkubalConfirmed
Model pickNYY moneyline53%Model 20260629_auto
NYYHome starterCam SchlittlerConfirmed
DET47%ML -103
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability51%Selected moneyline pick
NYY53%ML -116
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.9
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Tarik SkubalDET starter / away
Projected K6.3Actual 9 K / Over 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O +105 fanatics / U -116 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 7.530%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.594%over
O 3.586%over
O 4.574%over
O 5.559%over
O 6.544%over
O 7.530%over
O 8.519%over
O 9.512%under
O 10.56%under
O 11.53%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.
Cam SchlittlerNYY starter / home
Projected K5.9Actual 5 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O +115 betonlineag / U -125 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 7.525%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.593%over
O 3.583%over
O 4.569%over
O 5.554%under
O 6.538%under
O 7.525%under
O 8.516%under
O 9.59%under
O 10.55%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-103 / -116DET / NYY moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-167)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total