MLB / mlb / live
TBR 0 / NYY 2TBRTampa Bay Rays46%
NYYNew York Yankees54%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterNick MartinezConfirmed
Model pickNYY moneyline54%Model 20260921_auto
NYYHome starterCarlos RodónConfirmed
TBR46%ML +120
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
NYY54%ML -144
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total7.5
Market total6.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Drew RasmussenTBR starter / away
Projected K5.5Did not start / void
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.590%
O 3.578%
O 4.563%
O 5.546%
O 6.531%
O 7.520%
O 8.511%
O 9.56%
O 10.53%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Ryan WeathersNYY starter / home
Projected K4.0Did not start / void
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%
O 2.575%
O 3.556%
O 4.537%
O 5.522%
O 6.512%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+120 / -144TBR / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+157)Home spread price shown for context
Total context6.5O -118 / U +100
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total