MLB / mlb / live
TOR 6 / NYY 7TORToronto Blue Jays36%
NYYNew York Yankees64%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterPatrick Corbin
Model pickNYY moneyline64%Model 20260414_1
NYYHome starterRyan Weathers
TOR36%ML +165
Base model probability64%Moneyline only
NYY64%ML -200
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#4
Total lean · analyst-timeUnder
Model-market gap · analyst-time0.1 pts
Model (64.1%) and market (64.1%) perfectly aligned on NYY moneyline. Missing pitcher stats means total confidence is low despite park factor 0.93 suggesting under. Model's 8.76 total vs market 9.0 is modest gap; lean under given pitcher park but no conviction without SP data.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.3
Projected total8.8
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+165 / -200TOR / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+100)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -115
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total