MLB / mlb / live
TOR 6 / NYY 7TORToronto Blue Jays36%
NYYNew York Yankees64%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterPatrick Corbin
Model pickNYY moneyline64%Model 20260414_1
NYYHome starterRyan Weathers
TOR36%ML +165
Base model probability64%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability64%Selected moneyline pick
NYY64%ML -200
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#4
Total leanUnder
Model-market gap0.2 pts
Model (64.1%) and market (64.1%) perfectly aligned on NYY moneyline. Missing pitcher stats means total confidence is low despite park factor 0.93 suggesting under. Model's 8.76 total vs market 9.0 is modest gap; lean under given pitcher park but no conviction without SP data.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.3
Projected total8.8
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+165 / -200TOR / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+100)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -115
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total