MLB / mlb / live
BAL 3 / NYY 11BALBaltimore Orioles46%
NYYNew York Yankees54%
at Yankee Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBALAway starterTrey Gibson
Model pickNYY moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
NYYHome starterMax Fried
BAL46%ML +189
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability67%Selected moneyline pick
NYY54%ML -233
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+189 / -233BAL / NYY moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (-115)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -115
32 books30 ML25 run line22 total