MLB / mlb / live
scheduledPHIPhiladelphia Phillies49%
NYMNew York Mets51%
at Citi Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterCristopher SánchezProbable
Model pickNYM moneyline51%Model 20260914_auto
NYMHome starterJonah TongProbable
PHI49%ML -170
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability40%Selected moneyline pick
NYM51%ML +140
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.4
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Cristopher SánchezPHI starter / away
Projected K5.6
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.591%
O 3.580%
O 4.565%
O 5.548%
O 6.533%
O 7.521%
O 8.512%
O 9.57%
O 10.53%
O 11.52%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Jonah TongNYM starter / home
Projected K4.6
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.582%
O 3.566%
O 4.548%
O 5.531%
O 6.518%
O 7.510%
O 8.55%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-170 / +140PHI / NYM moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-122)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -112
31 books30 ML24 run line23 total