MLB / mlb / live
PHI 3 / NYM 10PHIPhiladelphia Phillies42%
NYMNew York Mets58%
at Citi Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedPHIAway starterAndrew PainterConfirmed
Model pickNYM moneyline58%Model 20260914_auto
NYMHome starterChristian ScottConfirmed
PHI42%ML +105
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
NYM58%ML -125
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.1
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Andrew PainterPHI starter / away
Projected K4.9
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.586%
O 3.571%
O 4.554%
O 5.537%
O 6.523%
O 7.513%
O 8.57%
O 9.53%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Christian ScottNYM starter / home
Projected K5.8
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.592%
O 3.582%
O 4.567%
O 5.551%
O 6.536%
O 7.523%
O 8.514%
O 9.58%
O 10.54%
O 11.52%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+105 / -125PHI / NYM moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+164)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total