MLB / mlb / live
CIN 7 / NYM 2CINCincinnati Reds36%
NYMNew York Mets64%
at Citi Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterNick Lodolo
Model pickNYM moneyline64%Model 20260414_1
NYMHome starterNolan McLean
CIN36%ML +115
Base model probability64%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
NYM64%ML -137
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin1.4
Projected total8.7
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+115 / -137CIN / NYM moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -103 / U -116
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total