MLB / mlb / live
NYY 6 / NYM 7NYYNew York Yankees49%
NYMNew York Mets51%
at Citi Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterElmer RodrÃguez
Model pickNYM moneyline51%Model 20260414_1
NYMHome starterFreddy Peralta
NYY49%ML -106
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability51%Selected moneyline pick
NYM51%ML -113
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-106 / -113NYY / NYM moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-164)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -104
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total