MLB / mlb / live
DET 2 / NYM 3DETDetroit Tigers42%
NYMNew York Mets58%
at Citi Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterFramber Valdez
Model pickNYM moneyline58%Model 20260414_1
NYMHome starterChristian Scott
DET42%ML -106
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability51%Selected moneyline pick
NYM58%ML -112
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.2
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-106 / -112DET / NYM moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-148)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -104 / U -118
32 books31 ML23 run line23 total