MLB / mlb / live
TEX 4 / MIN 6TEXTexas Rangers50%
MINMinnesota Twins50%
at Target Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTEXAway starterMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
Model pickTEX moneyline50%Model 20260921_auto
MINHome starterDean KremerConfirmed
TEX50%ML -118
Base model probability50%Moneyline only
MIN50%ML -101
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total8.5
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
MacKenzie GoreTEX starter / away
Projected K3.7Actual 0 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -152 betonlineag / U +128 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 3.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%under
O 2.571%under
O 3.550%under
O 4.532%under
O 5.518%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
Dean KremerMIN starter / home
Projected K5.3Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -115 bovada / U -102 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.560%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.576%over
O 4.560%under
O 5.544%under
O 6.529%under
O 7.518%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-118 / -101TEX / MIN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-167)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -112 / U -111
33 books32 ML24 run line24 total