MLB / mlb / live
LAA 2 / MIN 4LAALos Angeles Angels40%
MINMinnesota Twins60%
at Target Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterJosé SorianoConfirmed
Model pickMIN moneyline60%Model 20260706_auto
MINHome starterTaj BradleyConfirmed
LAA40%ML +110
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
MIN60%ML -132
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total8.7
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
José SorianoLAA starter / away
Projected K5.0Actual 0 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +124 fanduel / U -153 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.538%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%under
O 2.586%under
O 3.572%under
O 4.555%under
O 5.538%under
O 6.524%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
Taj BradleyMIN starter / home
Projected K6.9Actual 6 K / Under 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O -107 betrivers / U +103 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 6.552%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.596%over
O 3.590%over
O 4.580%over
O 5.567%over
O 6.552%under
O 7.538%under
O 8.526%under
O 9.517%under
O 10.510%under
O 11.56%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+110 / -132LAA / MIN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+153)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -119 / U -103
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total