MLB / mlb / live
COL 2 / MIN 3COLColorado Rockies46%
MINMinnesota Twins54%
at Target Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterRyan FeltnerConfirmed
Model pickMIN moneyline54%Model 20260622_auto
MINHome starterConnor PrielippConfirmed
COL46%ML +140
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability60%Selected moneyline pick
MIN54%ML -167
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.4
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ryan FeltnerCOL starter / away
Projected K3.9Actual 0 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +130 bovada / U -147 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 4.535%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%under
O 2.573%under
O 3.553%under
O 4.535%under
O 5.520%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
Connor PrielippMIN starter / home
Projected K4.8Actual 10 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +104 fanduel / U -118 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.570%over
O 4.552%over
O 5.536%over
O 6.522%over
O 7.512%over
O 8.57%over
O 9.53%over
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 10 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+140 / -167COL / MIN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+124)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -112 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total