MLB / mlb / live
HOU 1 / MIN 4HOUHouston Astros41%
MINMinnesota Twins59%
at Target Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterMike Burrows
Model pickMIN moneyline59%Model 20260414_1
MINHome starterJoe Ryan
HOU41%ML +121
Base model probability59%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
MIN59%ML -143
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+121 / -143HOU / MIN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+148)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -111 / U -114
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total